Expires:No;;732301
ABNT20 KNHC 181315
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
915 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 
15, 2025.  During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks 
will be issued as conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Hagen


						

Expires:No;;186398
AXNT20 KNHC 260830
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Mar 26 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0830 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: 
The pressure gradient between a surface ridge N of the area and 
the Colombian low is supporting strong to gale force winds off 
Colombia. Seas with these winds are peaking near 11 ft. Winds will
diminish below gale force early this morning. 

Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the 
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N12W and extends 
southwestward to 05N16W. The ITCZ continues from 05N16W to 
00N48W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 05N 
between 08W and 40W. 

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure dominates the northern Gulf, anchored by a 1022 mb 
high centered just S of the Florida panhandle. A surface trough 
extends off the west coast of the Yucatan peninsula. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting fresh winds off the
west coast of the Yucatan, where seas are in the 3-4 ft range.
Light winds, and seas of 2 ft or less are in the vicinity of the
high center. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 2-4 ft prevail
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the aforementioned area of high pressure will 
support gentle to moderate winds over much of the basin today. 
Winds will increase to moderate to fresh across the NW Gulf Thu, 
then further increase to fresh to strong Thu night into Fri while 
expanding in coverage before beginning to diminish Fri night. Seas
generated by these winds will build to around 10 ft in the NW 
Gulf Fri and Fri night. A weak cold front may move into the NW 
Gulf late Sun night into early next week. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for details on a 
Gale Warning off the coast of Colombia.

Aside from the area of gale force winds, fresh to near gale winds
are over the south central Caribbean, where seas are in the 8-10 
ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft prevail 
elsewhere E of 80W. Over the western Caribbean, gentle to moderate
winds, and seas of 4-7 ft, are noted. 

For the forecast, gale force winds off Colombia will diminish this 
morning. Winds off Colombia will then pulse to near gale force 
speeds tonight through Fri and to fresh to strong speeds for the 
remainder of the period. Fresh to strong winds will develop in 
the lee of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, over the waters between 
Cuba and Jamaica and south of Hispaniola from late Thu through 
this weekend. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

High pressure dominates much of the Atlantic discussion waters,
anchored by a 1038 mb high centered near 38N39W. Fresh to strong
winds, and seas of 6-9 ft prevail over the waters E of 60W. Gentle
to moderate winds, and seas of 3-6 ft, are found over the waters W
of 60W.

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will enter the waters 
between northeast Florida and Bermuda today, and will shift 
eastward, moving east of 55W by Thu night. High pressure will 
build in the wake of the front, bringing an increase in winds 
across much of the waters S of 28N by the end of the week. Winds 
and seas will start to decrease this weekend as the high shifts 
eastward and weakens. 

$$
AL